Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.007889 0.008881 0.009968 0.011249 0.012722 0.014367 0.016348
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006162 0.007464 0.009014 0.011008 0.013523 0.016613 0.020731
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005402 0.006867 0.008713 0.011233 0.014621 0.019073 0.025458
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004778 0.006310 0.008327 0.011215 0.015305 0.020990 0.029658
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004145 0.005644 0.007689 0.010731 0.015231 0.021781 0.032302
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003767 0.005274 0.007397 0.010673 0.015717 0.023388 0.036337
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003610 0.005194 0.007499 0.011184 0.017090 0.026482 0.043163
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003247 0.004772 0.007047 0.010788 0.016979 0.027181 0.046068
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002963 0.004441 0.006700 0.010512 0.017016 0.028104 0.049467
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002780 0.004249 0.006547 0.010529 0.017534 0.029896 0.054709
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002708 0.004224 0.006655 0.010987 0.018859 0.033279 0.063541
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002531 0.004015 0.006440 0.010863 0.019117 0.034711 0.068677
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002393 0.003864 0.006322 0.010915 0.019742 0.036996 0.076171
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002221 0.003644 0.006065 0.010692 0.019822 0.038222 0.081613
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002136 0.003564 0.006047 0.010908 0.020784 0.041384 0.092084
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002023 0.003428 0.005915 0.010891 0.021266 0.043588 0.100705
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001858 0.003186 0.005571 0.010424 0.020751 0.043523 0.103630
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001763 0.003064 0.005439 0.010367 0.021109 0.045481 0.112212
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001744 0.003080 0.005570 0.010862 0.022735 0.050644 0.130632
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001622 0.002894 0.005296 0.010478 0.022329 0.050834 0.135020
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001522 0.002746 0.005085 0.010212 0.022165 0.051604 0.141301
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001461 0.002667 0.005007 0.010228 0.022673 0.054170 0.153665
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001448 0.002682 0.005117 0.010671 0.024269 0.059859 0.177430